B
🏛️politicsEnds 7mo

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Yes48.5%
51.5%No
$1.5M
Total Vol
$71K
24h Vol
$54K
Liquidity
-23.0%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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FAQ

What is "Starmer out by December 31, 2026?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 48.5% and No at 51.5%. This is based on $1,463,072.5 total volume.
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