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🏛️politicsEnds 9d

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes71.5%
28.5%No
$575K
Total Vol
$45K
24h Vol
$37K
Liquidity
-3.0%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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FAQ

What is "Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?"?▾
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 71.5% and No at 28.5%. This is based on $574,807.9 total volume.
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