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🔬scienceEnds 21d

Will Seattle have more than 3 inches of precipitation in May?

Yes12.5%
87.5%No
$53
Total Vol
$10
24h Vol
$164
Liquidity
-15.5%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Related Markets

Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?

100%+2.1%

Will Seattle have more than 5 inches of precipitation in April?

0%

Will Seattle have between 4 and 4.5 inches of precipitation in April?

0%-0.1%

Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?

0%-0.2%

Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in May?

21%-10.0%

FAQ

What is "Will Seattle have more than 3 inches of precipitation in May?"?
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for May 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of May 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 12.5% and No at 87.5%. This is based on $53.453 total volume.
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