📈economyEnds 7mo
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
Yes18.5%
81.5%No
$1K
Total Vol
$27
24h Vol
$1K
Liquidity
-4.0%
24h Change
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
FAQ
What is "EU debt downgrade before 2027?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 18.5% and No at 81.5%. This is based on $1,372.005 total volume.